Change-point detection for demand regimes

Advanced methods need monitoring as well as training. This short read considers change-point detection for demand regimes and how to detect when yesterday’s fit no longer holds.

Practitioner lens

A rigorous evaluation of change-point detection for demand regimes reports loss by horizon and segment, then checks whether uncertainty estimates achieve their intended coverage on unseen periods.

First experiment

Check calibration and decision impact separately; sharp intervals are useful only when they cover at the promised rate.

This is an original educational brief. It is a starting point for discussion, not a claim that one technique fits every supply chain.