Choosing the right time bucket

A forecast is not a promise; it is an input to a choice. This primer uses choosing the right time bucket to make that distinction concrete.

Practitioner lens

A clear explanation of choosing the right time bucket starts with a time plot and a definition of demand. Visual checks often reveal lifecycle or data patterns before any method is selected.

First experiment

Review error by horizon and segment; an average can conceal a severe miss on a critical item.

This is an original educational brief. It is a starting point for discussion, not a claim that one technique fits every supply chain.