Start with something familiar
Imagine planning a meal for a group of friends. You need to know who is coming, what each dish uses, which food is already usable, and when the oven is free. A full pantry does not help if the missing ingredient arrives after dinner. Nor does a long recipe prove that you can cook it before guests arrive. Manufacturing planning applies that same care to parts, unfinished work, available time, and the promises made to customers.
Define the planning boundary
Northstar sells a small bottle and a large bottle. Both use one common cap, but each has its own body and label. Shared demand is added only after each parent has been exploded with its own recipe. The sum tells purchasing how many common parts are needed; the separate rows tell the planner who will be affected by a shortage.
A shared part does not imply that finished products are interchangeable. A large bottle cannot cover a small bottle order simply because their caps match. Keep product-specific stock separate. Use a common component pool only for truly identical and approved parts. The planning table should retain both the common total and the contributing parent quantities.
Calculate with explicit rules
Packaging provides a useful unit trap. In this lesson a carton contains six bottles and partial cartons are allowed only for planning consumption: each bottle consumes one sixth of a carton equivalent. Purchasing orders whole cartons. Multiply the total bottles by the fraction, then round at the purchasing boundary. Rounding each product first can increase the order without a physical need.
An engineering change has a date as well as a new part. Northstar changes the large bottle to a new cap in week three; small bottles keep the old cap. The old and new caps cannot substitute. The production start week determines the cap version in this exercise. Do not use the customer shipment date to choose the recipe unless that is the written rule.
Check before committing
When a change is proposed, preserve the earlier plan instead of overwriting its inputs. Compare old and new cap requirements, excess inventory, and missing new parts. A change that looks small at the product level can create a new supply gap if the new part has a long lead time.
For each shortage, record an allocation rule before distributing scarce stock. A proportional split, a due-date rule, and a protected customer rule answer different business questions. The arithmetic can show the consequences, but it cannot select a commercial priority without an explicit policy. State the rule in your memo.
- Read case inputs
- Calculate the baseline
- Change one assumption
- Check and decide
Northstar worked case
All data below are fictional and complete for this calculation.
| Input group | Exact case data |
|---|---|
| 1 | Weekly starts small:[12,18,12,6]; large:[6,12,18,12]. |
| 2 | One cap per bottle; old cap for all weeks1–2 and small only weeks3–4; new cap for large weeks3–4. Opening old caps40,new caps10. No receipts; lot-for-lot replenishment. Cartons hold6 bottles. |
- 1. Old cap gross=[18,30,12,6]; new cap gross=[0,0,18,12].
- 2. Old cap net receipts=[0,8,12,6]; new cap=[0,0,8,12].
- 3. Total carton need=(18+30+30+18)/6=16.
Base old purchases26,new20; closing inventory0 in both pools.
Assumptions
- Only the stated supply and demand exist; no hidden safety stock or open orders.
- Timing, yield, lot size, and setup follow the explicit case; do not import another lesson’s assumptions.
Where this can fail: This deliberately small model checks planning logic. It cannot establish supplier reliability, customer priority, or a statistical service guarantee.
Build, test and explain a plan
Northstar asks you to build a reusable planning model, not just report one answer. Use only the inputs below and the worked example. Weekly starts small:[12,18,12,6]; large:[6,12,18,12]. One cap per bottle; old cap for all weeks1–2 and small only weeks3–4; new cap for large weeks3–4. Opening old caps40,new caps10. No receipts; lot-for-lot replenishment. Cartons hold6 bottles. Keep full precision in intermediate calculations and round only where the case requires whole units. Use separate tabs or clearly labeled paper grids for the baseline and each scenario. The eight hours are a self-paced practice estimate, not an experimentally validated duration.
Use paper or a spreadsheet. The estimates below include the study and worked example already on this page.
| Estimated hours | Activity |
|---|---|
| 0.5 | Study the terms and mark each input with its unit, date, and status. Write a half-page statement of the boundary of the model and list facts that are deliberately excluded. |
| 0.5 | Recalculate every worked-example step by hand. Compare the hand calculation with your model and explain any difference before moving on. |
| 3 | Build separate old/new cap balance tables for all four weeks. Build formulas, a visible input table, and a reconciliation row. Add notes so another learner can reproduce the model without asking you for missing data. |
| 2 | Delay the change until week4, then bring it forward to week2; keep all other inputs fixed. Save each scenario separately. Compare quantities, dates, and any unresolved shortages. Trace the change from its input through every affected calculation. |
| 1 | Write a one-page decision memo naming the baseline result, the preferred action under each scenario, the remaining uncertainty, and the evidence required before execution. Do not invent costs or customer priorities. |
| 1 | Create a five-minute teach-back with one diagram and one checked number. Then use a second independent calculation to audit the model and revise unclear assumptions. |
Your deliverables
- An auditable input and calculation table with baseline and scenario tabs.
- A comparison table with numerical checks, dates, and unresolved gaps.
- A decision memo and a short teach-back using the supplied facts.
Check your practice work
- Base old purchases26,new20; closing inventory0 in both pools.
- Change in week4:old gross[18,30,30,6], total84, net44; new gross12,net2.
- Change in week2:old gross[18,18,12,6],net14; new gross[0,12,18,12],net32. Total cap purchases46 in all three cases.
Keep these three ideas
- Combine multiple products while retaining a clear demand trail.
- A numerical answer must retain its unit, timing, and assumptions.
- Use the scenario checks to test the model before using it to support a decision.
Common mistakes
- Combining values that refer to different dates or different physical units.
- Treating a modeled proposal or expected output as confirmed usable supply.
Optional video study
Combine multiple products while retaining a clear demand trail.
- Northstar sells a small bottle and a large bottle
- Old cap gross=[18,30,12,6]; new cap gross=[0,0,18,12].
- Base old purchases26,new20; closing inventory0 in both pools.
Second half: scenario comparison and decision.
Open the module media & quizPut this idea to use
Carry your assumptions into a practical tool, then compare your result with a short guide.
Open a related planning toolRead the related planning guidePractice with the planning gameThis saves a completion marker in this browser only. It does not verify time spent.